Soo Koobid: Boris Krasnozhenov oo ka tirsan Alfa Bank ayaa sheegay in maalgashiga dalka ee kaabayaasha dhaqaalaha uu taageeri doono saadaasha aan caadiga ahayn, taasoo kor u qaadaysa kobaca ilaa 4%-5%.

Machadka Qorshaynta iyo Cilmi-baarista Warshadaha Birta ee Shiinaha ayaa ku qiyaasay in wax soo saarka birta Shiinaha uu hoos u dhici karo 0.7% sanadkan laga bilaabo 2019 ilaa qiyaastii 981 milyan oo mt. Sannadkii hore, hay'adda cilmi-baarista ayaa ku qiyaastay wax soo saarka dalka 988 milyan oo mt, taasoo kor u kacday 6.5% sannadkii.

Kooxda la-talinta Wood Mackenzie ayaa xoogaa rajo wanaagsan ka qabta, iyadoo saadaalinaysa koror 1.2% ah oo ku yimaada wax soo saarka Shiinaha.

Si kastaba ha ahaatee, Krasnozhenov wuxuu u arkaa labada qiyaasood inay yihiin kuwo aad u taxaddar badan.

Wax soo saarka birta Shiinaha ayaa laga yaabaa inuu kordho 4%-5% isla markaana uu dhaafo 1 bilyan oo mt sanadkan, sida uu sheegay falanqeeyaha warshadaha birta ee fadhigiisu yahay Moscow, isagoo saadaalintiisa ku saleynaya maalgashiga dalka ee hantida go'an (FAI).

Hay'adda FAI ee sannadkii hore waxay sannadkiiba u qoondeyn lahayd $8.38 tiriliyan, ama qiyaastii 60% GDP-ga Shiinaha. Hay'adda dambe, oo qiimaheedu yahay $13.6 tiriliyan sannadkii 2018, sida uu Bangiga Adduunku qiyaasay, waxay kor u qaadi kartaa $14 tiriliyan sannadka 2019.

Bangiga Horumarinta Aasiya ayaa ku qiyaasay in horumarinta gobolka ay ku kacdo $1.7 tirilyan sannadkii, oo ay ku jiraan kharashaadka yaraynta isbeddelka cimilada iyo la qabsiga. Guud ahaan maalgashiga $26 tirilyan ah ee ku fidsan toban iyo bar ilaa 2030, qiyaastii $14.7 tirilyan ayaa loo qoondeeyay korontada, $8.4 tirilyan oo gaadiidka ah iyo $2.3 tirilyan oo loogu talagalay kaabayaasha isgaarsiinta, sida laga soo xigtay bangigu.

Shiinaha ayaa qaata ugu yaraan kala bar miisaaniyaddan.

Krasnozhenov oo ka tirsan Alfa Bank ayaa ku dooday in, inkastoo kharashka ku baxaya kaabayaasha dhaqaalaha uu weli aad u culus yahay, haddana filashada in sameynta birta Shiinaha ay hoos u dhacdo ilaa 1% ay noqon doonto mid aan sax ahayn.