Isishwankathelo: UBoris Krasnozhenov we-Alfa Bank uthi utyalo-mali lwelizwe kwiziseko zophuhliso luya kuxhasa izibikezelo ezingacwangciswanga kangako, nto leyo ethetha ukukhula okuya kuthi ga kwi-4%-5%.

I-China Metallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute iqikelela ukuba imveliso yentsimbi yaseTshayina inokwehla nge-0.7% kulo nyaka ukususela ngo-2019 ukuya kuthi ga kwi-981 yezigidi zeerandi zeerandi zeerandi. Kunyaka ophelileyo, i-think-tank iqikelele ukuba imveliso yelizwe ifikelela kwi-988 yezigidi zeerandi zeerandi zeerandi, inyuke nge-6.5% ngonyaka.

Iqela labacebisi uWood Mackenzie linethemba elingakumbi, liqikelela ukunyuka kwemveliso yaseTshayina nge-1.2%.

Nangona kunjalo, uKrasnozhenov ubona zombini ezi ngqikelelo njengezilumkileyo ngokugqithisileyo.

Imveliso yentsimbi yaseTshayina isenokunyuka nge-4%-5% ize idlule i-1 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi kulo nyaka, utshilo umhlalutyi weshishini lesinyithi eliseMoscow, esekela uqikelelo lwakhe kutyalo-mali lwelizwe kwi-fixed assets (FAI).

I-FAI yonyaka ophelileyo ibingayi kuzisa i-$8.38 trillion ngonyaka, okanye malunga ne-60% ye-GDP yaseTshayina. Eli lamva, elixabisa i-$13.6 trillion ngo-2018, ngokutsho kweBhanki yeHlabathi, linokuthi lifikelele kwi-$14 trillion ngo-2019.

IBhanki yoPhuhliso lwase-Asia iqikelela ukuba uphuhliso kulo mmandla lubiza i-$1.7 trillion ngonyaka, kuquka iindleko zokunciphisa utshintsho lwemozulu kunye nokuziqhelanisa. Kwimali iyonke eyi-$26 trillion etyalwe kwiminyaka elishumi elinesiqingatha ukuya kutsho ngo-2030, malunga ne-$14.7 trillion yabelwe umbane, i-$8.4 trillion yezothutho kunye ne-$2.3 trillion yeziseko zonxibelelwano, ngokutsho kwebhanki.

I-China ithatha ubuncinane isiqingatha sale bhajethi.

UKrasnozhenov we-Alfa Bank uphikise ngelithi, nangona ukuchitha imali kwiziseko zophuhliso kusaqhubeka kuphezulu kangaka, ukulindela ukuba ukwenziwa kwentsimbi yaseTshayina kunciphe ukuya kwi-1% bekungayi kuba yinto echanekileyo.