28 Paenga-whāwhā, 2026 – He Whakarāpopototanga Mākete Rautaki mō ngā Kaihoko o te Ao

I a tātou e tomo ana ki te wiki whakamutunga o Paenga-whāwhā 2026, ko te mākete paipa maitai kore hononga o te ao, te paipa maitai whakarewa, me te mākete wāhanga tuwhera hanganga kei te arotahi ki te whakatakotoranga ota i mua i te hararei me te whakatinanatanga o te hauwhā tuarua. I te tata mai o te hararei o te Rā o Mei (Mei 1-5), he wā whaiti kei ngā kaihoko ki te whakarite i ngā wā whakaputa i mua i te whakamutu mahi ā-tau. I taua wā, kua tau ngā taupatupatu o te Waenganui Rawhiti ki roto i tētahi tauira o te whakahaere i te raruraru, ā, kei te pumau tonu ngā kaupapa matua o te mākete puta noa i te nuinga o ngā kāwai hua.

Whakahōutanga Ā-Iwi: Te Moana-a-Hormuz – Kua Whakapūmautia engari Kāore anō kia Whakatauhia

Kei te pā tonu te pakanga hōia e uru ana a Īrāna, Iharaira, me te Hononga o Amerika ki ngā mahi tauhokohoko, ahakoa kua tae te āhuatanga ki tētahi wā o te whakahaere i te taumahatanga me ngā tikanga kaipuke kua whakatūria.

Ngā Mahi Moana: Kei te noho tonu te Moana-a-Toi i raro i te kaha ake o te tiaki a te ope taua, ā, kāore he pikinga nui i ngā wiki tata nei. Kua mau tonu te utu tāpiri mō ngā utanga a ngā kamupene kaipuke o

1,000–1,000–2,500 mō ia ipu mō ngā utanga e haere ana ki te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, ā, ko te toharite o ngā whakaroa o te kawe waka he 7-12 ngā rā ki te whakataurite ki ngā wātaka i mua i te pakanga.

Rere Kawemai ā-Rohe: Ko ngā whenua o te Kaunihera Mahi Tahi o te Moana-a-Kiwa – e kapi ana i te 26% o ngā kaweake paipa tuimotu a Haina – kei te whiwhi tonu i ngā paipa rino tuimotu, paipa raina, me ngā tuku OCTG, ahakoa me whai wā ārai rite tonu te whakamahere mahi kawe.

Pānga ki te Utu Pūngao: Kua pumau ngā utu hinu i roto i te

75–75–82/peera, e whakaiti ana i te pehanga utu tonu mō te hanga maitai oumu pewa hiko me te pupuri tonu i te papa tautoko mō te utu o ngā paipa maitai waro.

Pānga o te Hararei o te Rā Mei: Matapihi Whakamutunga o te Ota i mua i te Hararei

Ko te hararei o te Rā o Mei e haere ake nei (1-5 o Mei) ka whakaroa i te mahi hanga me te kawe waka puta noa i Haina, he wā poto engari he wā nui. He mārama ngā pānga o tēnei tauira ā-tau:

Ngā Rārangi Whakaputa: Ka whakamutua ngā mahi a ngā mira mō ngā rā hararei ā-motu e 5. Ko ngā ota i tukuna i muri i te 28-29 o Paenga-whāwhā ka tukatukahia i roto i te huringa whakaputa i muri i te hararei (tīmata i te 6-7 o Mei).

Rārangi Wā mo te Whakahaere Rauemi: Ka puhoi haere ngā mahi tauranga i te wiki hararei. Kei te whakatauhia inaianei te wāhi mo ngā kaipuke e wehe atu ana i te mutunga o Paenga-whāwhā.

Matapihi Hoko: Mō ngā kaihoko e hiahia ana ki ngā paipa tuitui, ngā paipa maitai koranu, ngā wāhanga hanganga rānei mō te tukunga o ngā kaupapa i te mutunga o Mei, i te tīmatanga rānei o Hune, ko tēnei wiki te whai wāhitanga whakamutunga ki te whiwhi i ngā wā whakaputa i mua i te hararei.

Whakahōutanga Mākete o te Hauwhā Tuarua o te tau 2026: Ngā Kaupapa Pūmau puta noa i ngā Kāwai Hua

Kei te whakaatu tonu te hauwhā tuarua i ngā āhuatanga mākete taurite me te tono pumau puta noa i ngā rāngai matua.

Te Hanga me te Tuku

Kei te whakahaerehia ngā mira puta noa i Āhia me te 75-80% o te kaha e whakamahia ana, me te putanga pumau o ngā paipa maitai waro, ngā paipa maitai koranu, me ngā paipa maitai kore waikura.

He rite tonu ngā wā ārahi: 30-40 ngā rā mō te ASTM A106 Grade B me te API 5L B, 45-55 ngā rā mō te raupapa koranu ASTM A335 (P11/P22/P91) me ngā paipa tuimotu whānui.

Ko ngā utu mō ngā rauemi mata – ngā pereki maitai waro, ngā koiri HR, ngā koranu whakarewa, me ngā maitai para – kei te noho tonu i roto i te awhe puta noa i Āperira, ā, he mea tēnei kia taea ai te matapae i ngā utu.

Ngā Ārahi Tono mā te Rāngai Whakamahinga Mutunga

Taumata Mahi o Nāianei o te Wāhanga Ngā Hua Matua e Hiahiatia Ana

Hinu me te Hau (Whakarunga) Paipa raina API 5L X52/X60/X65 pumau, nui te rōrahi, OCTG, anga, ngongo

Hinu me te Hau (Midstream) Ngā kaupapa paipa pumau Paipa kore hononga nui, paipa raina whakarewa

Te Whakaputa Hiko Ngā ngongo pūmau, e whakahaerehia ana e te tiaki ASTM A213 T11/T22, ASTM A335 P11/P22/P91, ngā ngongo whakawhiti wera

Te tipu haere o ngā hanganga, inā koa ko Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti me te Rawhiti o Waenganui EN 10210 S355J2H, EN 10219 ngā wāhanga, ngā ngongo tapawhā, ngā wāhanga tapawhā whāiti (RHS), ngā paipa poupou

Te Hanga Ahumahi He āhua pumau, he paipa tuimotu tika, he paipa mīhini, he paipa rango waipēhi

Ngā paipa tukatuka matū motuhake ki te kaupapa ASTM A312 TP304/TP316L, ngā paipa kowiri tira takirua

Te Tirohanga Utu mō te Mutunga o te Hauwhā Tuarua o te tau 2026

Ngā Utu Paipa Tuturu: E matapaetia ana ka noho pumau tonu tae noa ki Mei, engari ka piki ake pea ngā utu hiko i te marama o Hune mena ka piki ake ngā utu pūngao, ka tere ake rānei te tono.

Ngā Utu o ngā Paipa Whakarewa: E matapaetia ana te pumau, me te whai tata i ngā nekehanga o te utu o te koiri HR.

Te Utu Whakahaere Whenua: Ko te utu mō ngā tuku e anga ana ki te Waenganui Rawhiti he 8-12% te utu teitei ake i ērā atu wāhi.

Ngā Pūrongo Ahumahi Hou: Te Pūkenga, Te Kaupapahere Tauhokohoko, me te Hangarau

He maha ngā whanaketanga i te mutunga o Paenga-whāwhā e hanga ana i te whenua whakataetae mō ngā kaiwhakarato me ngā kaihoko paipa maitai:

Ka Whakawhanui ake te Pūngao EAF Hou i te Tuku Waro-Iti: Kua tonohia e te tuatoru o ngā kaihanga maitai Hainamana he raina paipa kore-whakarewa hou mō te oumu pewa hiko (EAF), ka tāpirihia he 200,000 tana o te kaha waro-iti ā-tau. Ka whakanui ake tēnei i te wātea o ngā paipa kore-whakarewa waro-iti me ngā ōwehenga para teitei kua tuhia (20-25%) me te whakamahinga hiko matomato (30-50%) – he mea nui mō ngā kaihoko Pākehā e pāngia ana e ngā whakaritenga CBAM.

Kua Piki Ake te Arotake i ngā Tuhinga CBAM: Kua pānuitia e te Komihana o Ūropi te whakarei ake i te manatoko i ngā raraunga tapuwae waro mō ngā kawemai maitai, e whai mana ana i te 1 o Mei. Me whakarite e ngā kawemai he tika, he taea te manatoko, ā, me haere tahi me ngā tiwhikete hiko matomato me ngā tuhinga ōwehenga para.

Te Whanuitanga o ngā Paipa Hanganga o te Rawhiti o Waenganui: Kua panuitia ngā kaupapa tuku wai me ngā kaupapa hanga hou i Saudi Arabia, UAE, me Qatar, e hua ake ana te tono mō ngā paipa whakarewa nui te whānui, ngā wāhanga hanganga tuwhera, me ngā paipa pou mō te tuku i te H2 2026 me te Q1 2027.

Arotake Kaupapa Here Tauhokohoko o te US: Kei te arotake te whakahaerenga o te US i ngā taripa o te Wāhanga 232 mō ngā kawemai maitai, me te tumanako ka taea ngā whakarerekētanga i te hauwhā tuatoru o te tau 2026. Me aroturuki ngā kaihoko i ngā whanaketanga mō te pānga ki ngā rere o te hokohoko paipa maitai.

Te Arotahi ki ngā Rauemi Whānui: Ngā Tohu Matua mō te Hauwhā Tuarua o te tau 2026

Ko ngā kaihoko e whakamahere ana i ngā whakaritenga mō te hauwhā tuarua me te hauwhā tuatoru, me whakarite i ēnei whakaritenga e tino hiahiatia ana:

Ngā tono matua mō te karaehe rauemi Te wā arataki noa Te ia o te tono mō te hauwhā tuarua

API 5L X52/X60/X65Ngā paipa tuku hinu me te hau 35-45 rā He pumau, he nui te rōrahi

ASTM A106 Tau B/C Ratonga pāmahana teitei (ngā poiha, ngā whare hanga hinu, ngā tipu hiko) 30-40 rā Pūmau, whānui te tūnga

ASTM A335 P11/P22/P91Te whakaputa hiko, ngā whakamahana nui, ngā whakamahana anō 45-55 rā Ngā huringa tiaki pumau

ASTM A312 TP304/TP316L Taiao waikura, tukatuka matū, ahumahi kai 40-50 rā Taurite, motuhake ki te kaupapa

ASTM A333 Tau 6 Ratonga pāmahana-iti (LNG, cryogenic) 40-55 rā Kaupapa motuhake, motuhake

EN 10210 S355J2H(kua oti te whakamahana) Ngā anga hanganga, te hanganga whare 35-45 ngā rā Te tipu haere, te whakahaere i ngā hanganga

EN 10219 S355J2H(hanga-makariri) Ngā hanganga ā-ringa, ngā tautoko, ngā tūāpapa 30-40 rā Pūmau, e wātea whānuitia ana

Ngā ngongo tuimotu tino tika Ngā puoto waipēhi, ngā wāhanga motuka, ngā mīhini 35-50 rā Taurite, hono-hangahanga

Ngā Taunakitanga Hoko Rautaki mō te Wiki Whakamutunga o Paenga-whāwhā

I te mea kua tata mai te hararei o te Rā o Mei, ā, kua tīmata te hauwhā tuarua, ka tūtohu mātou i ēnei mahi:

Whakaotihia ngā Ota Whakateretere mō te Hauwhā Tuarua i tēnei Wiki: Mō ngā paipa tuitui, paipa koranu, ngongo poiha, paipa whānui rānei e hiahiatia ana mō te tukunga o te mutunga o Mei, o Hune rānei, me tuku ōta i mua i te 29 o Paenga-whāwhā hei whakarite i te tohatoha whakaputa i mua i te hararei.

Whakamahere mō ngā Wā Arataki i Muri i te Hararei: Ka tukatukahia ngā ota i tukuna i te wiki hararei (Mei 1-5) mai i te Mei 6. Whakauruhia tēnei whakatā 5-rā ki roto i ō tataunga tuku, inā koa mō ngā kaupapa e aro nui ana ki te wā.

Whakaritea ngā Tuhinga CBAM i te Wā Moata: Mō ngā tukunga paipa maitai waro, paipa maitai koranu, paipa maitai kore-tuitui rānei e haere ana ki Ūropi, tonoa ngā kete raraunga tapuwae waro katoa – tae atu ki ngā tiwhikete hiko matomato, te manatoko ōwehenga para, me ngā pūrongo tukunga motuhake mō ngā puranga – i mua noa atu i te tukunga.

Te Haumarutanga o ngā Ratonga Whakahaere mō ngā Haerenga ki te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa: Mō ngā tuku paipa raina me ngā tuku OCTG ki te Middle East, kia mau tonu te wā ārai mō te 1-2 wiki i roto i tō mahere whakahaere ratonga whakahaere nā te mea kei te haere tonu ngā whakarerekētanga o te ara me te tūponotanga o te noho puku o te tauranga.

Aroturuki i te Kaupapahere Tauhokohoko o Amerika: Mō ngā kaihoko e mōhio ana ki te mākete o Amerika, kia mau tonu te mōhio ki te arotake taripa o te Wāhanga 232, nā te mea ka pā pea ngā panonitanga ki te utu o ngā paipa rino me ngā rere o ngā tauhokohoko i te Hauwhā Tuarua o te tau 2026.

Sanonpipe: Tō Hoa Pono i roto i ngā Huringa Mākete

Hei kaiwhakarato ratonga paipa rino kotahi-mutu, e whakapau kaha ana mātou ki te noho hei hoa pono rawa atu i roto i te rāngai ahumahi papai o te ao. Ko ā mātou pūkenga ko:

He Rauemi Hōhonu, Kanorau: Tata ki te 200,000 tana o ngā paipa maitai kore hononga (ngā momo maitai waro me te maitai koranu), me te 10,000 tana o ngā paipa whakarewa, ngā ngongo tapawhā, ngā ngongo tapawhā, me ngā paipa maitai kore waikura kei roto i te taonga, kua rite mō te tuku wawe.

Mekameka Tuku Waro-Iti: Ngā hononga mahi tahi me ngā mira e tuku ana i te whakaputanga EAF, ngā ōwehenga para teitei (20-25%), me te hiko matomato (30-50%), me te tautokona e te pūrongo raraunga waro e tutuki ana i te CBAM me te manatoko tuatoru.

Tautoko Ratonga Katoa: Mai i te kimi rauemi mata me te manatoko ki te tapahi, te miro, te paninga, te takai, me te tuku – ka whakatikatikaina e mātou tō mekameka tuku katoa puta noa i ngā wāhi o te ao.

Whānuitanga Ao: Mā tā mātou tīma kaweake mātau e whakahaere ngā mahi whakahaere, ngā tuhinga (tae atu ki ngā tiwhikete MTC, ngā tiwhikete takenga mai), me te whakawātea tikanga mō ngā tuku puta noa i te ao.

Whakapā mai ki tā mātou tīma i tēnei wiki hei whakaoti i ō ota i mua i te hararei, hei tono utu o nāianei, hei matapaki rānei i tō rautaki hoko mō te hauwhā tuarua me te hauwhā tuatoru o te tau 2026. Kei konei mātou hei āwhina i a koe ki te whakatere i te mākete me te māia.