16 Paenga-whāwhā, 2026 – Tātari Ahumahi me te Tirohanga Mākete

I a tātou e tomo ana ki te wiki tuarua o Paenga-whāwhā 2026, kei te whakatere te mākete paipa maitai kore hononga o te ao, te paipa maitai whakarewa, me te mākete wāhanga tuwhera hanganga i tētahi whenua kua tautuhia e ngā taupatupatu whenua tonu i te Middle East me te taiao tono pumau. I te tīmatanga o te hauwhā tuarua, kei te whakahou ngā kaihoko me ngā kaiwhakarato i ngā rautaki i runga i ngā āhuatanga o te kawe waka, ngā kaiārahi tono ā-rohe, me ngā whanaketanga utu.

Whakahōutanga Ā-Iwi: Te Hurihanga o te Āhuatanga o te Moana-a-Hormuz

Kei te haere tonu te awe o te pakanga hōia e uru ana a Īrāna, a Iharaira, me te Hononga o Amerika ki ngā huarahi hokohoko o te ao me ngā mākete pūngao i te roanga o Āperira.

Ngā Tikanga Haumarutanga Moana: Kei te noho tonu te Moana-a-Toi hei rohe mōrearea whakahaeretia, me ngā pirihimana moana o te ao e tiaki ana i ngā kaipuke arumoni. Ahakoa kua whakaitihia te mōrearea o ngā whakaekenga tika, kei te pupuri tonu ngā kamupene kaipuke i ngā kōwhiringa whakawhiti huarahi me ngā utu tāpiri utanga o te $1,200–$3,500 mō ia ipu mō ngā utanga e haere ana ki te Moana-a-Toi.

Pānga ki ngā Whakahaerenga ā-Rohe: Ko ngā whenua o te Kaunihera Mahi Tahi o te Moana-a-Kiwa (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain) – e kapi ana i te 26% o ngā kaweake paipa tuimotu a Haina – kei te roa tonu te wā arahi mō ngā tuku maitai e haere mai ana, arā, 2-3 wiki.

Te Whakapūmau i te Mākete Pūngao: Kua pumau ngā utu hinu i waenga i te $80–$88/para, ā, kua māmā ake te utu mō te hanga maitai oumu pewa hiko, me te pupuri tonu i te turanga pumau i raro i te utu mō ngā paipa maitai waro, ngā paipa maitai koranu, me ngā paipa maitai kore waikura.

Ngā Kaupapa Taketake o te Mākete o te Hauwhā Tuarua o te tau 2026: Te Tuku Taurite me te Hiahia ā-Rohe

Kei te ahua pumau te hauwhā tuarua o te tau, ā, kei te rerekē ngā tauira tono ā-rohe.

Te Tuku me te Whakaputa

Kei te whakahaerehia ngā mira puta noa i Āhia me te 75-80% o te kaha e whakamahia ana, ā, he nui ngā ngāwari hei whakatutuki i ngā piki me ngā heke o te rahinga ota.

Ka noho pumau tonu ngā wā ārahi mō ngā taumata paipa tuitui paerewa: 30-40 ngā rā mō te ASTM A106 Grade B me te API 5L B, ā, 45-60 ngā rā mōASTM A335raupapa koranu me ngā paipa tui kore-rahi.

Kua tau te utu o ngā rauemi mata – tae atu ki ngā pire maitai waro me ngā huānga whakarewa – whai muri i te piki me te heke o te uara i te tīmatanga o te hauwhā tuatahi, ā, he tautoko utu e matapaetia ana.

Ngā Ārahi Tono mā te Rohe

Ngā Hua Matua mō ngā Kaitātari Hiahia Matua o te Rohe

Te Rawhiti o Waenganui me Āhia Waenganui Ngā kaupapa keri hohe, ngā kaupapa paipaAPI 5L X52/X60/X65 paipa raina, OCTG, anga, ngongo

Te whanaketanga o ngā hanganga o Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti, te hanga whare Ngā paipa hanganga, ngā paipa tapawhā, ngā wāhanga tapawhā whāiti (RHS), ngā paipa poupou

Te tiaki i te tipu hiko o Ūropi, te whakawhiti pūngao Ngā ngongo poiha, ngā ngongo whakawhiti wera, ngā paipa kore-waro iti (e tutuki ana ki te CBAM)

Te tiaki ahumahi o Amerika Te Raki, te whakakapinga paipaASTM A106 B/C, ASTM A333 Tau 6 (pāmahana-iti)

Te Tirohanga Utu mō te Hauwhā Tuarua o te tau 2026

Ngā Utu Paipa Tuturu: E matapaetia ana ka noho tonu i roto i te awhe 3-5% tae noa ki te hauwhā tuarua, me te tautoko a ngā rauemi mata pumau me te tono pumau.

Ngā Utu Paipa Whakarewa: E matapaetia ana he pumau ōrite, me ngā whakarerekētanga iti pea i runga i ngā nekehanga utu o te koiri HR (koiri hurihuri-wera).

Te Utu Ā-Ao: Kei te piki tonu ngā utu whakahaere mō ngā tuku e anga ana ki te Waenganui Rawhiti mā te 10-15% ki te whakaritea ki ngā taumata i mua i te pakanga.

Ngā Pūrongo Ahumahi Hou: Ngā Whakawhanuitanga o te Pūmanawa me te Arotahi ki te Rino Kakariki

He maha ngā whanaketanga i te tīmatanga o Āperira e whakaatu ana i te whanaketanga o te whenua whakataetae:

Te Pūmanawa EAF Hou i Āhia: I panuitia e tētahi rōpū maitai nui o Haina te whakatūnga o tētahi raina whakaputa paipa kore hononga hou o te oumu pewa hiko (EAF), ka tāpirihia he 300,000 tāne o te pūmanawa ā-tau. Ko tēnei whānui e aro ana ki ngā paipa kore hononga waro-iti e whakamahi ana i ngā ōwehenga para teitei me te hiko matomato, e aro ana ki a Ūropi me ā-rohe.ngā mākete.

Ngā Rā Katinga mō te Whakatutukitanga o te CBAM: I whakaū te Komihana o Ūropi ka kitea te pikinga o te manatoko i ngā raraunga tapuwae waro mō ngā hua rino kawemai i te hauwhā tuarua o te tau 2026. Me whakarato ngā kawemai i ngā pūrongo tukunga motuhake mō ia puranga, ki te kore ka whiua pea rātou.

Ngā Whakaaetanga Hanganga: He maha ngā kāwanatanga o te Tonga-Rawhiti o Āhia kua whakaae ki ngā kaupapa kawe waka hou me te tuku wai, ā, ka nui ake te hiahia mō ngā paipa hanganga me ngā paipa whakarewa whānui mō te H2 2026.

Arotahi Rauemi: Ngā Tohu Matua mō te Hauwhā Tuarua o te tau 2026

Ko ngā kaihoko e whakamahere ana i ngā whakaritenga mō te hauwhā tuarua me whakarite i ēnei whakaritenga e tino hiahiatia ana:

Te Wā Arataki mō te Tonotanga o te Taumata Rauemi i te Hauwhā Tuarua o te Tono

API 5L X52/X60/X65 Ngā paipa hinu me te hau 35-45 rā Te roa, te nui o te rōrahi

ASTM A106 Tau B/C Ratonga pāmahana teitei 30-40 rā Pūmau, whānui te turanga

ASTM A335 P11/P22/P91 Ngā poiha whakaputa hiko 45-60 rā Tūturu mai i te tiaki

ASTM A312 TP304/TP316L Ngā taiao waikura 40-50 rā Waenga, motuhake

EN 10210 S355J2HNgā anga hanganga 35-45 rā Te tipu, te hanganga

EN 10219 S355J2HNgā hanganga mīhini 30-40 rā Pūmau, e wātea whānuitia ana

ASTM A333 Tau 6 Ratonga pāmahana-iti 40-55 rā Āhua motuhake, kaupapa-motuhake

Ngā Taunakitanga Hoko Rautaki

I runga i ngā āhuatanga o te mākete o nāianei, ka tūtohu mātou i ngā mahi e whai ake nei mō te hauwhā tuarua o te tau 2026:

Whakapūmautia ngā Wāhi Whakaputa o te Hauwhā Tuarua Inaianei: I te mea kei te mahi tonu ngā mira i te kaha pumau, he mea tika kia tukuna ngā ota mō ngā paipa maitai koranu me ngā paipa tuimotu whānui i roto i ngā wiki 2-3 e whai ake nei kia pai ai te wā tuku.

Mahere mō ngā Āhuatanga Whakahaere: Mō ngā tuku ki te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, whakaarohia kia 2-3 wiki te wā ārai, ā, whakaūhia ngā mahere huarahi me tō kaihoko paipa rino i mua i te whakaoti i ngā wā tuku.

Whakaritea ngā Tuhinga Whakatutukitanga o Ūropi: Mena ka tuku taonga ki ngā kaupapa Ūropi, tonoa wawetia ngā raraunga tapuwae waro, ngā tiwhikete hiko matomato, me ngā pūrongo ōwehenga para mai i tō kaiwhakarato kia mōhio ai koe kei te rite te CBAM.

Whakaarohia te Tūnga o ngā Taonga: Mēnā he pumau te utu me te taurite o te tuku, ka whakaarohia pea e ngā kaihoko te hanga taonga haumaru mō ngā momo hua nui pēnei i te ASTM A106 Grade B me te API 5L X52 hei tiaki i ngā raruraru o waenganui o te hauwhā tuarua.

Sanonpipe: Tō Hoa Mahi mō te Angitū o te Hauwhā Tuarua o te tau 2026

Hei kaiwhakarato ratonga paipa rino kotahi-mutu, e whakapau kaha ana mātou ki te noho hei hoa pono rawa atu i roto i te rāngai ahumahi papai o te ao. Ko ā mātou pūkenga ko:

Rarangi Hōhonu: Tata ki te 200,000 tāne o ngā paipa maitai kore hononga (waro me te koranu), me te 10,000 tāne o ngā paipa whakarewa, ngā ngongo tapawhā/tapawhā hāngai, me ngā paipa maitai kore waikura.

Mekameka Tuku Waro-Iti: Ngā hononga mahi tahi me ngā mira e tuku ana i te hiko matomato, ngā ōwehenga para teitei, me te whakaputanga EAF, e tautokona ana e te pūrongo raraunga waro e tutuki ana i ngā whakaritenga CBAM.

Tautoko Ratonga Katoa: Mai i te manatoko rauemi mata ki te takai, te paninga, me te tuku – ka whakangawarihia e mātou tō mekameka tuku.

Whakapā mai ki tā mātou tīma i tēnei rā tonu hei matapaki i tāu rautaki hokohoko mō te hauwhā tuarua o te tau 2026, hei tono utu mō nāianei, hei whiwhi rānei i ngā aratohu motuhake mō te whakatere i te taiao mākete o nāianei.