Lub Xya Hli 3, 2026 - Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Lag Luam Rau Cov Neeg Yuav Khoom Thoob Ntiaj Teb

Thaum peb nkag mus rau thawj lub hlis ntawm peb lub hlis twg ntawm xyoo 2026, lub ntiaj teb kev lag luamcov yeeb nkab hlau tsis muaj seamless, cov yeeb nkab hlau vuam, thiabqhov seem ntawm cov qauv hollowkev ua lag luam tab tom taug kev hauv thaj chaw nyuaj. Kev kub ntxhov ntawm thaj chaw nom tswv, kev hloov pauv ntawm cov cai lag luam, thiab kev hloov pauv ntawm cov txiaj ntsig tau tsim ob qho tib si kev cov nyom thiab cov cib fim. Rau cov neeg yuav khoom, kev nkag siab txog cov kev hloov pauv no yog qhov tseem ceeb rau kev npaj yuav khoom zoo hauv ib nrab xyoo tom ntej.

Thaj Chaw Geopolitical: Lub Ntiaj Teb ntawm Kev Nyuaj Siab Uas Tsis Tu Ncua

Ib puag ncig thoob ntiaj teb tseem tsis tau ruaj khov, nrog rau ntau thaj chaw muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb thiab cov teeb meem geopolitical cuam tshuam rau txoj kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb thiab kev lag luam zog.

Middle East: Strait of Hormuz Nyob Hauv Kev Saib Xyuas
Kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm tub rog uas muaj Iran, Ixayees, thiab Tebchaws Meskas tau txo qis tab sis tseem tsis tau daws.

Kev Ruaj Ntseg Hauv Dej Hiav TxwvTxoj Kev Ntshai ntawm Hormuz tseem yog ib qho chaw uas raug saib xyuas. Cov nqi ntxiv rau kev thauj khoom rau cov khoom thauj mus rau Gulf tau txo qis tab sis tseem muaj, thiab cov kab xa khoom tseem khaws cov phiaj xwm kev thauj mus los.

Kev Ruaj Ntseg ntawm Tus Nqi Zog: Tus nqi roj tau ruaj khov hauv$63–$68/barrel ntau yam, txo cov nqi tam sim ntawd rauhluav taws xob arc cub tawgkev tsim hlau. Txawm li cas los xij, txhua qhov kev nce siab dua tshiab tuaj yeem thim rov qab qhov sib txawv no sai sai.

Kev Ntshuam Khoom Hauv Cheeb TsamCov teb chaws Gulf Cooperation Council tseem txuas ntxiv tau txaisAPI 5L kab yeeb nkab, OCTG (Cov Khoom Siv Tubular Hauv Tebchaws Roj), thiabcov yeeb nkab ua qauvkev xa khoom, txawm hais tias kev npaj logistics tseem xav tau kev saib xyuas zoo.

Tebchaws Europe: Kev Tsis Sib Haum Xeeb thiab Kev Ruaj Ntseg Zog
Kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Tebchaws Europe Sab Hnub Tuaj tseem txuas ntxiv cuam tshuam rau cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv cheeb tsam thiab cov qauv kev lag luam.

Cov Haujlwm Kav DejTxawm hais tias muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb los xij, tseem muaj kev txaus siab rau kev sib txawv ntawm cov peev txheej hluav taws xob thiab cov kev, uas yuav ua rau muaj kev xav tau yav tom ntej raucov yeeb nkab lojthiabAPI 5L X65/X70 cov yeeb nkab tsis sib txuasrau cov kab ke kis tau tshiab lossis hloov kho dua tshiab.

Kev Rau Txim thiab Kev Txwv Kev Lag LuamCov kev rau txim uas tseem niaj hnub ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau cov dej ntws ntawmcov kav hlau carbon, cov yeeb nkab hlau sib xyaw, thiabcov kav dej tsis muaj steel seamlessrau qee lub khw, yuav tsum tau kuaj xyuas kev ua raws cai zoo.

Asia-Pacific: Kev Nyuaj Siab Txog Thaj Av Thiab Kev Lag Luam
Kev ua dej num hauv dej hiav txwv thiab kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv thaj chaw hauv Hiav Txwv South China thiab Taiwan Strait ntxiv lwm txheej kev pheej hmoo rau txoj kev xa khoom, uas yuav cuam tshuam rau lub sijhawm thauj mus los thiab cov nqi pov hwm raucov yeeb nkab hlau tsis muaj seamless, cov yeeb nkab vuam, thiablub raj qauvcov khoom xa tuaj.

Kev Hloov Kho Tshiab ntawm Kev Lag Luam Nyiaj Txiag: Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Hloov Pauv

Tus nqi pauv USD/CNY tau muaj kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb, cuam tshuam rau kev sib tw ntawm cov yeeb nkab hlau Suav teb.

Cov Nyiaj Txiag Khub	Qhov Sib Txawv Tshiab (Txij li Lub Rau Hli 2026)	Kev cuam tshuam rau cov neeg yuav khoom
USD/CNY	Kev ua kom muaj zog (yuan tsis muaj zog)	Tus nqi USD qis dua rau CNY-denuedyeeb nkab hlaukev yuav khoom
EUR/CNY	Kev qaug zog (yuan qaug zog)	Tus nqi EUR qis dua rau cov neeg yuav khoom hauv Eurozone
USD uas muaj qhov hnyav rau kev lag luam	Cov ntsuas nce siab	Feem ntau tus nqi siab dua rau cov neeg yuav khoom uas tsis yog USD

Peb Qhov Kev Ntsuam Xyuas: Qhov kev poob qis ntawm Suav yuan tsis ntev los no piv rau cov txiaj tseem ceeb muab qhov zoo dua rau cov neeg yuav khoom thoob ntiaj teb ntawmcov kav dej tsis muaj seamless, cov kav dej vuam, thiabcov ntu ntawm cov qauvTxawm li cas los xij, kev ua lag luam txiaj tseem muaj kev cuam tshuam rau cov xov xwm geopolitical thiab cov lus tshaj tawm txoj cai.

Q3 2026 thiab H2 Kev Lag Luam Outlook

Saib mus rau pem hauv ntej rau xyoo 2026 seem, muaj ntau yam tseem ceeb uas yuav ua rau kev ua lag luam zoo dua.

Tus nqi kwv yees rau cov kav dej tsis muaj qhov thiab cov kav dej vuam

Kev Ruaj Ntseg Nyob Ze: Yog tsis muaj kev nce siab loj hauv thaj chaw kev nom kev tswv, cov nqi raucov kav hlau tsis muaj seamlessyuav tsum tseem nyob rau hauv Q3, txhawb nqa los ntawm cov nqi khoom siv raw ruaj khov.

Qhov Muaj Peev Xwm Q4 SiabYog tias tus nqi zog nce siab vim muaj kev kub ntxhov hauv ntiaj teb, lossis yog tias muaj kev thov ntau ntxiv, peb yuav pom muaj kev nyuaj siab raucov yeeb nkab hlau, hlau yeeb nkab, thiabcov yeeb nkab tsis xebcov nqi hauv lub quarter thib plaub.

Cov Nqi Thauj KhoomTus nqi thauj khoom thoob ntiaj teb yuav ruaj khov tab sis siab dua piv rau cov qib ua ntej muaj kev sib kis, nrog rau cov nqi ntxiv rau txoj kev.

Kev Xav Tau Los Ntawm Sector

Kev Lag Luam	Kev kwv yees rau H2 2026	Cov Khoom Tseem Ceeb uas Muaj Neeg Xav Tau
Roj thiab Roj Av	Kev loj hlob ruaj khov hauv cov cheeb tsam tshwj xeeb	API 5L X52/X60/X65kab yeeb nkab,OCTG, lub plhaub, cov raj xa dej
Kev Tsim Hluav Taws Xob	Ruaj khov, kev saib xyuas thoob ntiaj teb	ASTM A213 T11/T22cov raj boiler,ASTM A335 P11/P22/P91cov yeeb nkab hlau,cov raj xa cua sov
Kev Tsim Kho Vaj Tse	Txhawb nqa los ntawm kev txhawb nqa hauv qee lub teb chaws kev lag luam	EN 10210 S355J2H, EN 10219 S355J2Hcov seem khoob,cov yeeb nkab txuas, cov yeeb nkab ua qauv
Lub Zog Rov Ua Dua Tshiab	Kev thov tshiab rau cov ntawv thov tshwj xeeb	ASTM A312 TP304/TP316Lcov kav dej tsis muaj stainless,precision seamless raj, cov kav dej kho tshuab
Kev Lag Luam & Tshuaj	Ruaj khov, tshwj xeeb rau qhov project	ASTM A106 Qib B/Ccov kav dej carbon,ASTM A333 Qib 6cov kav dej kub tsawg,duplex stainless hlau yeeb nkab

Xov Xwm Kev Lag Luam Tsis Ntev Los No: Peev Xwm, Txoj Cai Kev Lag Luam, thiab Kev Tsim Kho Tshiab

Muaj ntau yam kev txhim kho hauv Q2 thiab Q3 thaum ntxov uas ua rau muaj kev sib tw:

Peev Xwm EAF Tshiab: NtxivLub cub hluav taws xob arc (EAF)muaj peev xwm ua cov yeeb nkab seamless tau raug commissioned hauv Suav teb, ua rau muaj ntau ntxivcov kav dej tsis muaj carbon tsawg in cov hlau carbon, hlau sib xyaw, thiabhlau tsis xebqib. Qhov no sib haum nrog kev thov thoob ntiaj teb rau cov khoom siv hlau uas ruaj khov dua.

Kev Nce Qib ntawm Kev Siv CBAMLub European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) tseem niaj hnub ua ntu zus, nrog rau kev tsom mus rau kev sau ntaub ntawv raucov pa roj carboncov ntaub ntawv. Cov neeg xa khoom tawm yuav tsum npaj los muabdaim ntawv pov thawj fais fab ntsuabthiabkev txheeb xyuas qhov sib piv ntawm cov khib nyiabrau txhua tusyeeb nkab hlaucov khoom.

Kev Tiv Thaiv Kev Pov TsegKev tshuaj xyuas cov se tiv thaiv kev pov tseg rau qee yamcov yeeb nkab tsis muaj seamlesspawg (ASTM A106, API 5L) nyob rau hauv ntau yam kev lag luam tseem txuas ntxiv mus, tej zaum yuav cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam.

Kev Hloov Kho Tshiab ntawm Cov Qauv EN: Kev hloov kho rauEN 10210(ua tiav kub) thiabEN 10219Cov qauv (ua los ntawm kev txias) tau muab luam tawm lawm, nrog rau kev hloov kho me me. Cov neeg yuav khoom yuav tsum xyuas kom meej tias cov lus qhia siv cov qauv tshiab tshaj plaws.

Kev Tsim Kho Tshiab Alloy: Ib qib tshiab high-strength low-alloy (HSLA) tau raug qhia raucov yeeb nkab tsis muaj seamless, muab kev ua tau zoo dua rau lub tog raj kheej hydraulic thiab kev siv tsheb.

Cov Khoom Siv Tseem Ceeb: Cov Qib Tseem Ceeb rau H2 2026

Qib Khoom Siv	Cov Ntawv Thov Tseem Ceeb	Lub Sijhawm Ua Ntej	Kev Xav Tau H2
API 5L X52/X60/X65	Cov kav dej xa roj thiab roj av	35-45 hnub	Muaj zog, ntim siab
API 5L X70	Cov kav dej siab thiab ntev	45-55 hnub	Kev loj hlob, tshwj xeeb rau qhov project
ASTM A106 Qib B/C	Kev pabcuam kub siab (boilers, refineries, fais fab nroj tsuag)	30-40 hnub	Ruaj khov, dav dav
ASTM A335 P11/P22/P91	Kev tsim hluav taws xob, cov tshuab ua kom sov siab, cov tshuab ua kom sov dua	45-60 hnub	Kev ruaj khov, kev txij nkawm voj voog
ASTM A213 T11/T22/T91	Cov raj boiler, cov khoom siv hloov cua sov	45-60 hnub	Ruaj khov, lub zog fais fab
ASTM A312 TP304/TP304L	Cov chaw ua xeb, kev ua zaub mov	40-50 hnub	Nruab nrab, tshwj xeeb rau qhov project
ASTM A312 TP316/TP316L	Cov ntawv thov Marine, tshuaj lom neeg, kev siv corrosion siab	40-50 hnub	Loj hlob, tshwj xeeb
ASTM A333 Qib 6	Kev pabcuam kub qis (LNG, cryogenic)	40-55 hnub	Niche, cov haujlwm tshwj xeeb
EN 10210 S355J2H(kub tiav lawm)	Cov qauv kev tsim kho, kev tsim kho vaj tse	35-45 hnub	Kev loj hlob, kev tsim kho vaj tse uas tsav los ntawm
EN 10219 S355J2H(ua txias)	Cov qauv kho tshuab, kev txhawb nqa, scaffolding	30-40 hnub	Ruaj khov, muaj dav dav
ASTM A790 (Duplex/Super Duplex)	Offshore, tshuaj lom neeg, thiab muaj kev xeb ntau	55-70 hnub	Niche, loj hlob hauv kev hloov pauv zog
Cov raj xa dej tsis muaj qhov tsis meej	Cov thooj voos kheej kheej hydraulic, cov khoom siv tsheb, cov tshuab	35-50 hnub	Nruab nrab, txuas nrog kev tsim khoom

Cov Lus Qhia Txog Kev Yuav Khoom Rau H2 2026

Vim tias qhov xwm txheej tam sim no, peb xav kom cov neeg yuav khoom ua cov hauv qab no:

Saib Xyuas Kev Pheej Hmoo GeopoliticalNyob twj ywm paub txog kev txhim kho uas cuam tshuam rau txoj kev xa khoom tseem ceeb thiab cov nqi zog kom kwv yees tau cov nqi thiab lub sijhawm ua khoom.

Xauv Tus Nqi Qhov Twg Ua Tau: Vim muaj qhov tsis paub meej txog kev nom kev tswv hauv ntiaj teb, xav txog kev kho tus nqi rau txhua qhov kev yuav khoom loj lossis ntevcov yeeb nkab tsis muaj seamless, cov yeeb nkab hlau, thiabyeeb nkab tsis xebcov kev cai los tiv thaiv kev nce ntxiv ntawm Q4.

Qhov cuam tshuam rau kev txav mus los ntawm cov txiajQhov tsis muaj zog ntawm tus nqi yuan tsis ntev los no muab lub sijhawm rau kev yuav khoom. Cov neeg yuav khoom yuav xav txog lub qhov rais no rau cov ntawv cog lus USD/EUR.

Ua Kom Pom Tseeb Txog Cov Ntaub Ntawv thiab Kev Ua Raws Cai: Ua kom koj lub siab tuscov yeeb nkab xa tawmtuaj yeem muab cov pob ntawv pov thawj tag nrho, suav nrogDaim Ntawv Pov Thawj Xeem Zeb (MTC), Daim Ntawv Pov Thawj Keeb Kwm, thiab, rau cov haujlwm European, CBAM-ua raws licov ntaub ntawv txog cov pa roj carbon.

Lub Sijhawm Ua Haujlwm Npaj: Muaj peev xwm ua rau muaj kev sib txhuam ntawm kev thauj mus los, tswj lub sijhawm tsis siv neeg hauv koj cov sijhawm xa khoom rauloj-txoj kab uas hla, hlau sib xyaw, thiabcov kav dej tsis muaj steel seamless.

Xyuas Kom Tseeb Cov Lus Qhia Tshwj Xeeb: Paub meej tias qib tseeb, tus qauv (piv txwv li,ASTM, API, EN), thiab cov kev cai ntawm daim ntawv pov thawj (piv txwv li,EN 10204 Hom 3.1/3.2) nrog koj pab neeg engineering ua ntej kev txiav txim tso.

Sanonpipe: Koj Tus Khub Hauv Kev Lag Luam Nyuaj Siab

Raws li ib qho chaw nres tshebyeeb nkab hlauua tus muab kev pabcuam, peb cog lus tias yuav ua tus khub koom tes uas ntseeg siab tshaj plaws hauv kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb. Peb lub peev xwm suav nrog:

Cov Khoom Muag Sib Sib ZogKwv yees li200,000 tons ntawm cov kav hlau tsis muaj seamless(cov hlau carbon thiab cov hlau sib xyaw), ntxiv rau10,000 tons ntawm cov kav dej vuam, cov raj plaub fab, cov raj plaub fab, thiabcov kav hlau tsis xeb, uas npog ntau yam qauv thoob ntiaj teb.

Kev Paub Txog Thoob Ntiaj TebPeb pab neeg saib xyuas kev nom kev tswv hauv ntiaj teb, txiaj, thiab txoj cai lag luam kom muab kev taw qhia raws sijhawm.

Kev Txhawb Nqa Cov Ntaub NtawvPeb muab cov pob ntawv pov thawj tiav, suav nrogDaim ntawv pov thawj MTC, Daim Ntawv Pov Thawj Keeb Kwm, thiab ua raws li CBAMcov ntawv qhia txog cov pa roj carbon.

Tiv tauj peb pab neeglos tham txog koj txoj kev npaj yuav khoom H2 2026 thiab taug kev cov teeb meem tam sim no ntawm kev ua lag luam.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb:Cov yeeb nkab hlau tsis muaj seamless, cov yeeb nkab hlau welded, cov seem hollow, HSS, raj plaub fab, raj plaub fab, EN 10210, EN 10219, S355J2H, API 5L, ASTM A106, ASTM A335, ASTM A213, ASTM A312, ASTM A333, ASTM A790, cov yeeb nkab hlau carbon, cov yeeb nkab hlau alloy, cov yeeb nkab stainless hlau seamless, cov yeeb nkab duplex stainless, OCTG, cov yeeb nkab kab, cov yeeb nkab boiler, cov yeeb nkab hloov pauv cua sov, cov yeeb nkab precision seamless, cov yeeb nkab tshuab, CBAM, carbon footprint, cov hlau ntsuab, EAF, qhov sib piv pov tseg, lub zog ntsuab, kev ntxhov siab ntawm geopolitical, Strait of Hormuz, kev pauv txiaj, USD/CNY, Q3 2026, Q4 2026, tus nqi yeeb nkab hlau, txoj kev yuav khoom, cov yeeb nkab hlau xa tawm, daim ntawv pov thawj MTC, EN 10204, NACE, kev pabcuam qaub.