Chikumi 4, 2026 - Ongororo yeMaindasitiri yeVatengi veEurope nePasirose

Sezvatinopinda mumwedzi wekupedzisira wekota yechipiri 2026, nyika yosepombi yesimbi isina musono, pombi yesimbi yakasungirirwauyechikamu chine mhango chechimiromusika uri kuchinja kubva pakugadziriswa kwakasimba kwekota yechipiri kuenda pakuronga mberi kwechikamu chechipiri chegore ra2026. Zvibvumirano zvenhaurirano munguva pfupi yapfuura—kusanganisira kushanya kwemutungamiri wenyika yeUS neRussia kuChina—zvakachinja tarisiro yemitemo yekutengeserana, nepo kusawirirana kweMiddle East kuchiramba kuchienderera mberi nekugadzikana. Kune vatengi vekuEurope, kushandiswa kuri kuenderera mberi kweCBAM uye kudiwa kuri kukura kwezvinhu zveEN-standard zvinoramba zviri dingindira guru. Mushumo uyu unopa ruzivo rwakanangana nekuronga kutenga zvinhu zvine chekuita nehurongwa, kunyanya kutarisisa musika weEurope.

Nyika yezvematongerwo enyika uye yedhipuroma: Kugadzikana neMaitiro Matsva

Kusawirirana kweMiddle East Kunoramba Kuchiderera
Hondo yemauto pakati peIran, Israel, neUnited States yadzikira zvakanyanya.

Mhenderekedzo yeHormuz: Mabasa emugungwa ava pedyo neakajairika. Mari yekuwedzera yekutakura zvinhu zvinoenda kuGulf yaderera kusvika$200–$800 pamudziyo mumwe chete, nekunonoka kushoma kwekufambisa (mazuva 1-3 kupfuura ekutanga).

Mitengo yeMagetsi: Mitengo yemafuta yagadzikana mu$65–$70/nzvimbo yebhareri, kuderedza kumanikidzwa kwemitengo pachoto chemagetsi chearckugadzirwa kwesimbi uye kutsigira mitengo yakagadzikana yemapaipi esimbi yekabhoniuyemapaipi esimbi esimbi.

Misangano yeUS-China neRussia-China: Zvinokonzera Mutemo weKutengeserana
Kushanya kwepamusoro-soro kwakaitwa munguva pfupi yapfuura kwakaburitsa mhedzisiro yakati wandei ine chekuita nepombi yesimbiindasitiri:

US-ChinaMapoka anoshanda ari kuramba achiongorora mitengo yeChikamu 232. Hapana shanduko dziri pamutemo dzakaziviswa, asi hurukuro dziri kuenderera mberi.

Russia-China: Zvibvumirano zvitsva zvesimba zvichakurudzira kudiwa kweramangwana kwepombi yemutsetse ine dhayamita hombeyemapurojekiti ekutumira magetsi kumiganhu yenyika, nekutenga kunotarisirwa muH2 2026.

Kutarisa Musika weEurope: CBAM, EN Standards, uye Green Steel Kudiwa

Kune vatengi vekuEurope, mafambiro akati wandei akakosha ari kuumba kuwanikwa kweQ2 neH2 2026:

Kufambira Mberi Kwekuita CBAM

Zvinodiwa pakunyora magwaro: Mapakeji edata reCarbon footprint—kusanganisirazvitupa zvemagetsi egirini, ongororo yechiyero chezvimedu, uye mishumo yekubudisa utsi hwakasiyana-siyana—ikozvino zvinodiwa kuti zvitevedzwe.

Kusimba kwekusimbisa: European Commission yakawedzera kuongororwa kwedata rakatumirwa. Kururama uye kusimbiswa kwevamwe vanhu zviri kuramba zvichikosha.

Zvinokonzera MutengoNemitengo yekabhoni yeEU ETS iri mu€75–€90/tani, zvitupa zveCBAM zvinoratidza kukosha kwemutengo wezvigadzirwa zvinobudisa utsi hwakawanda.

Kudiwa Kwezvinhu Zvakajairwa muEN

Mapurojekiti ekuEurope ari kuramba achitsanangura zvinhu zveEN-standard. Magiredhi akakosha ari kudiwa anosanganisira:

Standard yeEN	Giredhi	Kushandiswa Kwakajairika	Yakaenzana neASTM
EN 10210-1	S355J2H	Zvikamu zvemukati zvakapedzwa zvinopisa	ASTM A500 Giredhi C
EN 10210-1	S275J2H	Mashandisirwo akajairika ekuvaka	ASTM A500 Giredhi B
EN 10219-1	S355J2H	Zvikamu zvechimiro zvakasungirirwa zvakaumbwa nechando	ASTM A500 Giredhi C
EN 10219-1	S235JRH	Chimiro chakareruka, scaffolding	ASTM A36
EN 10216-2	P235GH TC1	Zvinangwa zvekumanikidzwa pakupisa kwakakwirira	ASTM A106 Giredhi B
EN 10216-2	P265GH TC1	Midziyo yekumanikidza, mabhoyira	ASTM A106 Giredhi C
EN 10217-2	P235GH	Machubhu ekumanikidzwa akasungirirwa	ASTM A135 Giredhi B

Kudiwa kweSimbi yeCarbon Yakaderera uye Green

Vatengi vekuEurope vari kuramba vachikoshesamapaipi asina musono ane kabhoni shomakubva kumakambani eEAF ane magwaro akanyorwakushandiswa kwesimba regirini (30-50%)uyezviyero zvepamusoro zvezvimedu (20-25%).

Zvitupa zvebato rechitatu (semuenzaniso,ISO 14064, ISO 14067) vari kuita musiyano mukuongororwa kwezvikwereti.

Mhedziso yeMusika weQ2 2026: Kuitwa Kwakagadzikana

Chikamu chechipiri chegore chakaratidza mamiriro emusika akaenzana muzvikamu zvezvigadzirwa.

Kugadzira uye Kugovera

Zvigayo muAsia yese zvinoshanda kuKushandiswa kwesimba re75-80%ine kuburitswa kwakagadzikana kwemapaipi esimbi yekabhoni, mapaipi esimbi esimbiuyemapaipi asina musono esimbi isina ngura.

Nguva dzekutungamira dzinoramba dzakafanana:mazuva makumi matatu kusvika makumi manayeASTM A106 Giredhi BuyeAPI 5L B, Mazuva 45-55yeASTM A335alloy series uyemapaipi asina musono ane dhayamita hombe.

ZveZvinhu zveEN-standard, nguva dzekutungamirira dzinowanzo kuvemazuva 35-50zvichienderana nezvinodiwa negiredhi uye chitupa.

Pfupiso yeMari Yekuchinjana (kubva muna Chikumi 4, 2026)

Mari mbiri	Kufamba vs. Mavhiki mana apfuura	Zvinoreva Vatengi vekuEurope
EUR/CNY	-0.8% (yuan yakasimba zvishoma)	Kuwedzera kwemutengo weEUR
USD/CNY	-0.5% (yakasimba kupfuura yuan)	Mutengo wepamusoro weUSD wezvibvumirano zveUSD
EUR/USD	-0.3% (euro yakapfava zvishoma)	Kukanganisa kudiki pakugadzirisa mari dzakasiyana-siyana

Maonero eMusika weH2 2026: Q3 neKupfuura

Tichitarisa mberi kuchikamu chechipiri chegore ra2026, zvinhu zvakawanda zvichaumba musika:

Maonero emitengo

Mitengo yePombi Isina Musono: Zvinotarisirwa kuti zvicharamba zvakagadzikana kusvika muchikamu chechitatu, nekumanikidzwa kuri nani muchikamu chechina kana mitengo yesimba ikakwira kana kudiwa kwesimba repasi rose kukakura.

Kubatanidzwa Kwemitengo yeCBAM: Vatengi vekuEurope vanofanira kuverenga mari yekuisa certification yecarbon mukuverenga mari yese yezvigadzirwa zvinoburitsa utsi hwakawanda.

Mari yekutakura zvinhu: Mari yekufambisa zvinhu inokwira kuMiddle East yave yakajairika; mitengo yekutakura zvinhu pasi rose inotarisirwa kuramba yakagadzikana kunze kwekunge paine matambudziko matsva.

Maonero Ekuda Kudiwa Kwezvinhu Nechikamu

Chikamu	Maonero eH2 2026	Zvigadzirwa Zvikuru
Oiri neGasi	Kukura kwakasimba, kuri pakati nepakati	API 5L mutsetse wepombi, OCTG, keji, chubhu
Kugadzira Simba	Yakasimba, inotungamirirwa nekuchengetedza	EN 10216-2 P235GH/P265GH, ASTM A335machubhu ebhoira
Zvivakwa(Europe)	Kukura, mapurojekiti ekuchinja kwezvakatipoteredza	EN 10210/EN 10219 S355J2H, machubhu akaenzana, RHS
Zvivakwa(Middle East/Asia)	Yakachengetedzwa	Mapaipi akasungirirwa ane dhayamita hombe, pombi yekuunganira
Simba Rinodzokororwa	Zviri kubuda	Machubhu asina musono akanyatsojeka, machubhu emakanika

CBAM neTrade Policy Watch

Ongororo yeChikamu 232 cheUS: Kugadziriswa kunogona kuitika kunogona kukanganisa kuenda kuUSpombi yesimbikufamba kwekutengeserana. Hapana shanduko dzinotarisirwa muchikamu chechitatu chisati chasvika.

Matanho eEU ekudzivirira Kutengeserana: Ongororo dziri kuenderera mberi dzemitoro yekurambidza kurasa zvinhu pane mamwe mabasapombi isina musonomapoka.

Nhau dzeIndasitiri Dzazvino: Kugona, Tekinoroji, uye Maitiro

Zviitiko zvakawanda zvakaitika pakupera kwaChivabvu nekutanga kwaChikumi zviri kuumba mamiriro ekukwikwidzana kwevatengi vekuEurope:

Kugona Kutsva kweEAF kweSimbi Isina Kabhoni Yakawanda: Zviviri zvitsvachitofu chemagetsi chearc (EAF)Mitsetse yemapaipi isina musono yakatanga kugadzirwa muChina, zvichiwedzera matani angangoita 600,000 emagetsi asingasviki kabhoni pagore. Zvivako izvi zvinotarisa pakugadzirwa kwemapaipi.Zvinhu zveEN-standardneruzivo rwakanyorwa rwe green power uye chidimbu chezvakachekwa.

Kuvandudzwa kweNhungamiro yeCBAM: European Commission yakaburitsa gwara rakagadziridzwa pamusoro petsoka yekabhoninzira dzekusimbisa, kujekesa zvinodiwa zvemishumo yekubudisa utsi hwakasiyana-siyanauye masangano ekuongorora akagamuchirwa.

Kubatana Kwakajairika kweEN: Shanduro dzakagadziridzwa dzeEN 10210uyeEN 10219zvakabudiswa, zviine zvigadziriso zvidiki zvehunyanzvi. Vatengi vanofanira kusimbisa kuti zvirevo zvepurojekiti yavo zvinorevei.

Kubvumidzwa kwezvivakwa: Mapurojekiti akati wandei ekuchinja kwezvakatipoteredza muEurope akagamuchira mvumo yemari, zvichiita kuti pave nekudiwa kwemarizvikamu zvisina maburi zvemaumbirwouyemachubhu ekururamayekutumira zvinhu muH2 2026 neQ1 2027.

Kuratidzwa Kwakazara Kwezvinhu: Magiredhi Akakosha Evatengi vekuEurope (H2 2026)

Giredhi rezvinhu	Zvishandiso Zvikuru	Nguva Yakajairika Yekutungamirira	Maitiro ekudiwa kweH2
EN 10216-2 P235GH TC1	Zvinangwa zvekumanikidzwa, tembiricha yakakwira	mazuva 35-50	Kukura, kushandiswa kwebhoyira
EN 10216-2 P265GH TC1	Midziyo yekumanikidza, kugadzira simba	mazuva 35-50	Yakasimba, inotungamirirwa nekuchengetedza
EN 10210 S355J2H(yapera kupisa)	Mapurani ekuvaka, kuvaka zvivakwa	mazuva 35-45	Kukura, zvivakwa
EN 10219 S355J2H(yakaita sechando)	Zvivakwa zvemakanika, zvinotsigira, scaffolding	mazuva makumi matatu kusvika makumi mana	Yakagadzikana, inowanikwa zvakanyanya
API 5L X52/X60/X65	Mapaipi emafuta negesi	mazuva 35-45	Yakasimba, ine vhoriyamu yakawanda
ASTM A106 Giredhi B/C	Basa rekupisa kwakanyanya (pasi rose)	mazuva makumi matatu kusvika makumi mana	Yakagadzikana, yakafara
ASTM A335 P11/P22/P91	Maboiler ekugadzira magetsi	Mazuva 45-55	Kugara kwakasimba, kugadzirisa
Mapaipi asina musono ane kabhoni shoma(EAF + simba regirini)	Mapurojekiti ane hanya nezvakatipoteredza	mazuva 40-55	Chikamu chiri kuwedzera, chepamusoro-soro

Mazano Ekutenga Zvine Hurongwa kuVatengi vekuEurope - H2 2026

Tichifunga nezvekushanduka kuri kuita mamiriro ezvinhu, tinokurudzira zviito zvinotevera:

Tsanangura Maitiro eEN Pakutanga: Kune mapurojekiti ekuEurope, sanganisiraEN 10210, EN 10219, kanaEN 10216-2zvinodiwa muRFQs dzenyu kuti muve nechokwadi chekuti vatengesi vanopa zvitupa zvakakodzera uye kuti zvinhu zvinoteverwa zviri nyore.

Gadzirira magwaro eCBAM izvozviChikumbiro chaperamapakeji edata remakabhoni- kusanganisirazvitupa zvemagetsi egirini, ongororo yechiyero chezvimeduuyemishumo yekubudisa utsi hwakasiyana-siyana– padanho rekotesheni, kwete mushure mekuiswa kweodha.

Funga nezveSarudzo dzeCarbon Isina Kabhoni: Kune mapurojekiti ane zvinangwa zvekuderedza kabhoni, ongororamapaipi asina musono ane kabhoni shomakubva kumakambani eEAF ane simba rekuchengetedza nharaunda rakanyorwa (30-50%) uye huwandu hwakawanda hwezvimedu zvesimbi (20-25%). Maprimiyamu ave kuwedzera kukwikwidzana.

Ronga H2 Orders muQ2: Kuti uwane nzvimbo dzekugadzira zvinhu kubva munaGunyana kusvika Gumiguru, isaEN-yakajairikauyechiwanikwa chesimbi pombimaodha panosvika kupera kwaChikumi. Nguva yekuunza zvinhu zvakabvumidzwa inogona kusvika mazuva makumi mashanu kusvika makumi matanhatu.

Tarisa Mutemo weMari neKutengeserana: Pazvibvumirano zvine ma euro, mwero weEUR/CNY uripo unopa mukana wekuziva mutengo unonzwisisika. Tarisa chero zviziviso zveChikamu 232 zvinogona kukanganisa kufamba kwekutengeserana kwepasi rose.

Simbisa Zvinodiwa zveChitupa: Simbisa kana purojekiti yako ichidaEN 10204 Rudzi 3.1(chitupa chemugayo) kanaRudzi 3.2magwaro (akaongororwa nevamwe), sezvo izvi zvichikanganisa nguva dzebasa uye mari dzinoshandiswa.

Sanonpipe: Mubatsiri Wako weMusika weEurope

Sekumira kamwe chetepombi yesimbiNekupa rubatsiro, takazvipira kuva mubatsiri akavimbika zvikuru muindasitiri yepamusoro-soro yepasi rose. Kune vatengi vekuEurope, tinopa:

EN-Standard Inventory: EN 10210, EN 10219uyeEN 10216-2zvinhu zviri mumagiredhi anozivikanwa, zvine zvitupa zvakakwana zvechigayo uye kurongeka kwazvinoitwa.

Chain Yekupa Kabhoni Yakaderera: Kudyidzana nemakambani eEAF anopa zvinyorwa zvakanyorwakushandiswa kwesimba regirini(30-50%),zviyero zvepamusoro zvezvimedu(20-25%), uye zvinotevedzera mitemo yeCBAMruzivo rwezvitsigiro zvekabhoni.

Zvinhu Zvakadzika: InengeMatani 200,000 emapaipi esimbi asina musono(kabhoni ne alloy), pamwe cheteMatani zviuru gumi emapaipi akasungirirwa, machubhu akaenzana, machubhu emakona manauyemapaipi esimbi isina ngura.

Rutsigiro rweMagwaro: Tinopa mapakeji akazara ezvitupa, kusanganisiraEN 10204 Rudzi rwezvitupa 3.1/3.2, Zvitupa zveMTC, zvitupa zvepakutangauyemishumo yezviratidzo zvekabhoni.

Hunyanzvi hweMusika weEurope: Chikwata chedu chinoongorora kuvandudzwa kweCBAM, kugadziriswa kwemazinga eEN, uye mutemo wekutengeserana kuti vape gwara panguva yakakodzera.

Bata timu yedu vhiki rinokuti mukurukure nezvehurongwa hwenyu hwekutenga H2 2026, kukumbira mitengo yeEN-standard, kana kugamuchira gwara pamusoro pemagwaro eCBAM uye sarudzo dzemapaipi esimbi ane kabhoni shoma.