Chidule: Boris Krasnozhenov wa ku Alfa Bank akuti ndalama zomwe dzikolo limagwiritsa ntchito pokonza zomangamanga zingathandize kwambiri pa zomwe anthu ambiri akuyembekezera, zomwe zikusonyeza kuti kukula kwa chuma cha dzikolo ndi 4%-5%.

Bungwe la China Metallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute likuyerekeza kuti kupanga zitsulo ku China kungachepe ndi 0.7% chaka chino kuyambira 2019 kufika pa 981 miliyoni. Chaka chatha, bungweli linayerekeza kuti zokolola za dzikolo zinali 988 miliyoni, zomwe zinakwera ndi 6.5% chaka chilichonse.

Gulu la akatswiri a zachuma Wood Mackenzie lili ndi chiyembekezo pang'ono, likulosera kuti kuchuluka kwa ntchito ku China kudzakwera ndi 1.2%.

Komabe, Krasnozhenov akuona kuti ziwerengero zonse ziwirizi zinali zosamala kwambiri.

Katswiri wa zachitsulo ku Moscow anati, potengera zomwe dziko la China likuchita pa chuma chokhazikika (FAI), chuma chachitsulo chomwe chimachokera ku China chikhoza kukwera ndi 4%-5% ndikupitirira 1 biliyoni miliyoni chaka chino.

Ndalama za FAI za chaka chatha zikanafika pa $8.38 trillion pachaka, kapena pafupifupi 60% ya GDP ya China pachaka. Ndalama zachiwirizi, zomwe zinali ndi mtengo wa $13.6 trillion mu 2018, malinga ndi ziwerengero za World Bank, zitha kupitirira $14 trillion mu 2019.

Banki Yachitukuko ya ku Asia ikuyerekeza kuti chitukuko m'derali chimawononga $1.7 thililiyoni pachaka, kuphatikizapo ndalama zochepetsera kusintha kwa nyengo komanso zosinthira. Pa ndalama zonse zokwana $26 thililiyoni zomwe zayikidwa m'zaka khumi ndi theka mpaka 2030, pafupifupi $14.7 thililiyoni zaperekedwa kuti zigwiritsidwe ntchito pamagetsi, $8.4 thililiyoni yoyendetsera mayendedwe ndi $2.3 thililiyoni yoyendetsera ntchito zolumikizirana, malinga ndi banki.

China imatenga pafupifupi theka la bajeti iyi.

Krasnozhenov wa ku Alfa Bank adati, ngakhale kuti ndalama zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pa zomangamanga zikuchulukirachulukira, kuyembekezera kuti kupanga zitsulo ku China kuchepe kufika pa 1% sikungakhale kolondola.